Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.065025 0.076319 0.088925 0.104030 0.121633 0.141492 0.165594
2025-08-03 0.048321 0.063230 0.081684 0.106169 0.137776 0.177178 0.230013
2025-08-10 0.039082 0.055621 0.077788 0.109592 0.153985 0.213686 0.300028
2025-08-17 0.030821 0.047047 0.070282 0.105854 0.158819 0.234642 0.351327
2025-08-24 0.025782 0.041816 0.066127 0.105489 0.167442 0.261009 0.412857
2025-08-31 0.021731 0.037221 0.061943 0.104027 0.173634 0.283892 0.471480
2025-09-07 0.019254 0.034650 0.060390 0.106234 0.185527 0.316631 0.549342
2025-09-14 0.016689 0.031458 0.057246 0.105159 0.191555 0.340211 0.614670
2025-09-21 0.014349 0.028256 0.053556 0.102472 0.194196 0.358034 0.671882
2025-09-28 0.012340 0.025332 0.049903 0.099237 0.195232 0.372860 0.725152
2025-10-05 0.011327 0.024169 0.049349 0.101704 0.207126 0.408656 0.821367
2025-10-12 0.010283 0.022773 0.048127 0.102643 0.216079 0.439795 0.912187
2025-10-19 0.009325 0.021435 0.046884 0.103468 0.225121 0.472603 1.011328
2025-10-26 0.008544 0.020362 0.046048 0.105043 0.235955 0.510370 1.125519
2025-11-02 0.007987 0.019706 0.046006 0.108316 0.250815 0.558158 1.266627
2025-11-09 0.006987 0.017851 0.043037 0.104597 0.249716 0.571795 1.335308
2025-11-16 0.006339 0.016742 0.041613 0.104232 0.256145 0.602557 1.445768
2025-11-23 0.005702 0.015559 0.039845 0.102786 0.259821 0.627485 1.545771
2025-11-30 0.005339 0.015025 0.039577 0.104968 0.272481 0.674535 1.703329
2025-12-07 0.004847 0.014065 0.038105 0.103905 0.276960 0.702709 1.818688
2025-12-14 0.004335 0.012969 0.036128 0.101249 0.277030 0.720155 1.909581
2025-12-21 0.003858 0.011895 0.034058 0.098052 0.275256 0.732779 1.989748
2025-12-28 0.003656 0.011592 0.034046 0.100490 0.288875 0.786126 2.181879